\begin{table}[!htpb]
\centering\centering
\begin{threeparttable}
\caption{Voter preferences: Differences between election winners and losers (by year)\label{tab:A2}}
\centering
\fontsize{8}{10}\selectfont
\begin{tabular}[t]{lrrrrlrrrrll}
\toprule
\multicolumn{1}{c}{  } & \multicolumn{5}{c}{A. 1965} & \multicolumn{5}{c}{B. 1970} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{C. Difference} \\
\cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){2-6} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){7-11} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){12-12}
\multicolumn{1}{c}{ } & \multicolumn{1}{c}{N} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{\text{Winner}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{\text{Loser}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\beta_{65}^{\text{Voters}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{p($\beta_{65}^{\text{Voters}}$=0)} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{N} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{\text{Winner}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\mu_{\text{Loser}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{$\beta_{70}^{\text{Voters}}$} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{p($\beta_{70}^{\text{Voters}}$=0)} & \multicolumn{1}{c}{p($\beta_{65}^{\text{Voters}}$=$\beta_{70}^{\text{Voters}}$)} \\
\cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){2-2} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){3-3} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){4-4} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){5-5} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){6-6} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){7-7} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){8-8} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){9-9} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){10-10} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){11-11} \cmidrule(l{3pt}r{3pt}){12-12}
  &  (1)  &  (2)  &  (3)  &  (4)  &  (5)  &  (6)  &  (7)  &  (8)  &  (9)  &  (10)  &  (11) \\
\midrule
\textbf{Selection outcomes} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} ADC ranked first & 188 & 0.53 & 0.47 & 0.06 & {}[0.54] & 226 & 0.66 & 0.34 & 0.33 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.01]***\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ADC vote share & 188 & 0.36 & 0.33 & 0.03 & {}[0.41] & 226 & 0.42 & 0.26 & 0.17 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.00]***\\
\hspace{0.1cm} ADC votes & 188 & 19.39 & 18.04 & 1.35 & {}[0.58] & 226 & 186.42 & 104.78 & 81.65 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.00]***\\
\textbf{Demographic} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Male & 188 & 0.96 & 0.98 & -0.02 & {}[0.42] & 226 & 0.96 & 0.95 & 0.01 & {}[0.77] & {}[0.44]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Age & 122 & 35.56 & 39.96 & -4.40 & {}[0.01]*** & 220 & 39.54 & 39.74 & -0.20 & {}[0.85] & {}[0.02]**\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Born in district & 188 & 0.88 & 0.70 & 0.18 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.78 & 0.73 & 0.04 & {}[0.43] & {}[0.10]*\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local religious majority & 119 & 0.78 & 0.71 & 0.06 & {}[0.41] & 67 & 0.77 & 0.75 & 0.02 & {}[1.00] & {}[0.74]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local ethnic majority & 137 & 0.64 & 0.47 & 0.17 & {}[0.03]** & 74 & 0.58 & 0.48 & 0.10 & {}[0.08]* & {}[0.63]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Traditional authority & 188 & 0.14 & 0.06 & 0.07 & {}[0.07]* & 226 & 0.10 & 0.08 & 0.02 & {}[0.66] & {}[0.33]\\
\textbf{Education} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Vocational & 188 & 0.31 & 0.18 & 0.13 & {}[0.03]** & 226 & 0.23 & 0.21 & 0.02 & {}[0.75] & {}[0.19]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Overseas experience & 188 & 0.22 & 0.09 & 0.14 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.25 & 0.19 & 0.06 & {}[0.24] & {}[0.32]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Secondary & 188 & 0.50 & 0.32 & 0.18 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.34 & 0.26 & 0.08 & {}[0.19] & {}[0.28]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} University & 188 & 0.14 & 0.02 & 0.12 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.07 & 0.03 & 0.04 & {}[0.13] & {}[0.13]\\
\textbf{Occupation} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Farmer & 188 & 0.48 & 0.21 & 0.27 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.50 & 0.44 & 0.05 & {}[0.44] & {}[0.03]**\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Teacher & 188 & 0.12 & 0.09 & 0.03 & {}[0.50] & 226 & 0.19 & 0.17 & 0.02 & {}[0.73] & {}[0.84]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Religious & 188 & 0.02 & 0.01 & 0.01 & {}[0.57] & 226 & 0.05 & 0.04 & 0.02 & {}[0.53] & {}[0.84]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Business & 188 & 0.18 & 0.28 & -0.10 & {}[0.11] & 226 & 0.10 & 0.12 & -0.03 & {}[0.53] & {}[0.34]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Bureaucrat (junior) & 188 & 0.22 & 0.13 & 0.10 & {}[0.08]* & 226 & 0.19 & 0.12 & 0.06 & {}[0.20] & {}[0.64]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Bureaucrat (senior) & 188 & 0.26 & 0.18 & 0.07 & {}[0.16] & 226 & 0.17 & 0.08 & 0.09 & {}[0.06]* & {}[0.85]\\
\textbf{National political roles} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} MP & 188 & 0.14 & 0.17 & -0.03 & {}[0.58] & 226 & 0.35 & 0.23 & 0.12 & {}[0.07]* & {}[0.06]*\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Minister & 188 & 0.12 & 0.09 & 0.03 & {}[0.50] & 226 & 0.06 & 0.02 & 0.04 & {}[0.10]* & {}[0.80]\\
\textbf{Local party roles} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local elected leader & 188 & 0.24 & 0.31 & -0.06 & {}[0.33] & 226 & 0.32 & 0.37 & -0.05 & {}[0.43] & {}[0.91]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Local appointed leader & 188 & 0.16 & 0.16 & 0.00 & {}[1.00] & 226 & 0.19 & 0.20 & -0.01 & {}[0.86] & {}[0.91]\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Union/Cooperative leader & 188 & 0.46 & 0.20 & 0.26 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.45 & 0.42 & 0.04 & {}[0.57] & {}[0.02]**\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Years of membership & 45 & 6.49 & 7.25 & -0.76 & {}[0.04]** & 207 & 10.99 & 10.74 & 0.25 & {}[0.72] & {}[0.50]\\
\textbf{Election outcomes} &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  &  & \\
\hspace{0.1cm} Election vote share & 188 & 0.71 & 0.29 & 0.42 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 0.67 & 0.33 & 0.33 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.02]**\\
\hspace{0.1cm} Election votes & 188 & 16268.48 & 6402.46 & 9866.02 & {}[0.01]*** & 226 & 17912.41 & 9042.46 & 8869.95 & {}[0.01]*** & {}[0.47]\\
\bottomrule
\end{tabular}
\begin{tablenotes}
\small
\item [] \StarnoteDataElection
\end{tablenotes}
\end{threeparttable}
\end{table}
